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20 June 2008, Sydney

Major airlines may shut down 'within 6 months'

This is the dire prediction from the CEO of Virgin Blue airlines, Brett Godfrey, who told Australian television that high oil prices are going to force some major airlines around the world to close within six months.

Mr Godfrey said the airline industry was never designed to handle fuel costs as high as $165 USD a barrel, and the situation is far worse now than it was during recent aviation crises... Today's crisis is far worse than that experienced during the SARS epidemic or after September 11.

Virgin Blue and Australia's national airline, Qantas, have both increased their fares and pared back their costs in an attempt to ride out the continually-rising cost of aviation fuel.

If the fuel price stays where it is, said Mr Godfrey, I'm convinced you'll see one of the major US airlines (which form five of the top-ten in the world) going out of business by Christmas 2008.

However, he says there is no need for job cuts unless fuel costs keep on rising.

Our competitors have already made statements that they're going to have to shelve planes and put people out of work, he said.

So far, we have been able to prevent that, he said. But he also made a dire prediction. "No-one is going to be unaffected if fuel hits $200 USD a barrel... Not one single company in Australia that uses fuel as an input is going to be unaffected."

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